A halin yanzu na raguwar farashin tabo, farashin kasuwannin jigilar kayayyaki na iya faɗuwa zuwa matakan 2019 a farkon ƙarshen wannan shekara - a baya ana tsammanin tsakiyar 2023, bisa ga sabon rahoton bincike na HSBC.

Marubutan rahoton sun yi nuni da cewa, bisa ga kididdigar kididdigar dakon kaya na Shanghai (SCFI), wanda ya ragu da kashi 51% tun watan Yuli, tare da raguwar matsakaicin mako-mako da kashi 7.5%, idan aka ci gaba da raguwar, kididdigar za ta koma kan matakan riga-kafin cutar.

HSBC ta ce dawo da karfin bayan hutu zai kasance daya daga cikin "mahimman abubuwan" wajen tantance "ko farashin kaya zai daidaita nan ba da jimawa ba".Bankin ya kara da cewa yuwuwar sauye-sauye ga ka'idoji, wadanda za a iya bayyana su a cikin rahoton kudaden shiga na kashi uku na kamfanoni, na iya ba da haske kan yadda layukan jigilar kayayyaki suka yi nasara tare da kwangilolin kulawa.

Duk da haka, manazarta banki suna tsammanin cewa idan farashin ya faɗi zuwa ƙananan matakan tattalin arziƙin, za a tilasta layin jigilar kayayyaki ɗaukar 'matsananciyar matakan' kuma ana sa ran daidaitawa ga ƙarancin ƙarfin aiki, musamman lokacin da farashin ke ƙasa da kuɗin kuɗi "

A halin da ake ciki, Alphaliner ya ba da rahoton cewa cunkoso a tashar jiragen ruwa na Nordic da yajin aiki na kwanaki takwas a Felixstowe, tashar jiragen ruwa mafi girma a Burtaniya, ba su isa ba don hana kasuwancin China-Nordic na SCFI daga faduwar "mahimmanci" da kashi 49% a cikin kwata na uku.

Bisa ga kididdigar Alphaliner, a cikin kwata na uku, 18 alliance loop Lines (6 a cikin 2M alliance, 7 a cikin Ocean Alliance, da 5 a cikin THE Alliance) kira a 687 tashar jiragen ruwa a Arewacin Turai, 140 kasa da ainihin adadin kira. .Kungiyar tuntuba ta ce kawancen MSC da Maersk na 2M ya fadi da kashi 15%, sai kuma kungiyar ta Tekun da kashi 12%, yayin da kungiyar ta kasa, wadda ta ci gaba da kulla alaka a kimar da ta gabata, ta fadi da kashi 26% a tsawon lokacin.

"Ba abin mamaki ba ne cewa tashar jiragen ruwa na Felixstowe tana da mafi girman adadin kiran da aka rasa na Far East Loop a cikin kwata na uku," in ji Alphaliner.Tashar jiragen ruwa ta rasa fiye da kashi uku na kiran da aka shirya kuma ta rasa sau biyu na kiran Ocean Alliance Loop.anga.Rotterdam, Wilhelmshaven da Zeebrugge sune manyan masu cin gajiyar kiran canja wuri.